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What does Guatemala need to reach investment grade?

According to the cited documentsMacro and risk

Current public investment

~1.6% of GDP

Apr 2026Prensa Libre

All three agencies place Guatemala one notch below investment grade: Moody's at Ba1, S&P at BB+ and, since the Oct 14, 2025 upgrade, Fitch at BB+. Moody's (Apr 2026) makes the step up to investment grade conditional on raising public investment from ~1.6% of GDP to 3–4% (roads, ports, airports). The World Bank ran a technical-assistance program, “Roadmap to Investment Grade”, for Guatemala, documented in a case study. Fitch lists the country among the region's BB “emerging stars” (Nov 2025).

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  • Public investment required (Moody's)3–4% of GDPApr 2026Prensa Libre
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Sources

  • Prensa Libre

    Moody's mantiene Ba1 y prevé escenario optimista

    • Current public investment
    • Public investment required (Moody's)
    prensalibre.comAccessed Aug 19, 2026Go to the source
  • World Bank

    Case Study: Guatemala credit rating technical assistance

    thedocs.worldbank.orgAccessed Aug 19, 2026Go to the source
  • MEF

    MEF Paraguay · Regional Outlook of Sovereign Ratings dic-2025

    mef.gov.pyAccessed Aug 19, 2026Go to the source