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What did Moody's say about Guatemala in its latest review (2026)?

According to the cited documentsOfficial Minfin statement: to be confirmedTo be confirmedMacro and risk

GDP growth

4.3%

Vs. 4.1% estimated2025Prensa Libre

Moody's affirmed the Ba1 rating with a stable outlook on Apr 30, 2026, one notch below investment grade. It pointed to “growing institutional momentum, solid economic growth and limited external vulnerability” and to 2025 growth of 4.3%, above the 4.1% it had estimated. It noted that reaching investment grade requires public investment to rise from ~1.6% of GDP to 3–4%. It also warned that the massive inflow of remittances “has not translated into real development” because of high informality. The Ministry of Public Finance (Minfin) published Press Release 29 (May 2026) on the affirmation.

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  • Moody's rating

    Ba1, stable outlook

    Apr 30, 2026Infobae
  • Public investment needed for investment grade

    From ~1.6% to 3–4% of GDP

    Apr 2026Prensa Libre
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Sources

  • Infobae

    Moody's ratifica Ba1

    • Moody's rating
    infobae.comAccessed Aug 19, 2026Go to the source
  • Prensa Libre

    Moody's mantiene Ba1 y prevé escenario optimista

    • GDP growth
    • Public investment needed for investment grade
    prensalibre.comAccessed Aug 19, 2026Go to the source
  • TodaNoticia

    Moody's advierte sobre rezago estructural

    todanoticia.comAccessed Aug 19, 2026Go to the source