Skip to content
Ask

Latest figures

How much does Guatemala lose to smuggling and illicit trade?

According to the cited documentsA 2014: estimateTo be confirmedImporting machinery

Value of illicit trade in goods

~Q14.2 billion (3.6% of GDP), range Q11.2–17.2 billion

2012FUNDESA/CACIF

The most cited estimate comes from the FUNDESA-CACIF study of July 2014: an annual fiscal loss from smuggling (as evasion) of up to Q5,900 million, equivalent to US$755 million, around 1.6% of current GDP; the same study put the value of illicit trade in goods in 2012 at ~Q14.2 billion (3.6% of GDP) in the likely scenario, within a range of Q11.2-17.2 billion. The comparison with ministerial budgets that had been circulating does not appear in the study and was removed. CONACON calculates losses of no less than US$1,600 million a year.

Read moreRead less
  • Annual fiscal loss to smuggling

    Up to Q5,900 M ≈ US$755 M (~1.6% of GDP)

    2014 estimateFUNDESA/CACIF
  • Q1,400 M per yearNo year givenNote Apr 2022CODECOF/CIG-CABI
Ask a follow-up

Sources

  • FUNDESA/CACIF

    Hacia el mejoramiento del sistema fiscal

    • Annual fiscal loss to smuggling
    • Value of illicit trade in goods
    fundesa.org.gtAccessed Aug 22, 2026Go to the source
  • Revista Industria & Negocios

    Abr-2022, Una lucha constante contra el comercio ilícito

    revistaindustria.comAccessed Aug 22, 2026Go to the source