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Saturday, September 12, 2026 · Guatemala CityQ7.6282 per US$+0.00%
ADVANCE GUATEMALA
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In depth

Guatemala in TRACIT's 2025 Illicit Trade Index and SAT seizures

Dossier
Importing machinery and inputs17-importar-maquinaria.md
Domain
Importing machinery: duty and clearanceimportar-maquinaria
Room
Invest · Importing machinery: duty and clearance/invertir/importar-maquinaria
Audited
Audited

In TRACIT's 2025 Illicit Trade Index, Guatemala scores 43.1/100, ranking 106th of 158 economies and 5th of 7 in Central America, and is classified as a 'high-risk jurisdiction'. The tax authority (SAT) reported seizures worth Q108.7 million in 2025 (Q32.3 million in 1,028 seizures between January and June 2025). On cigarettes, La Hora (12 July 2026) estimates a fiscal loss of Q180 million a year since 2017; the 'up to 40% of consumption is illicit' figure that circulated was not found in any source and remains to be researched. The same article describes Guatemala as a regional transit corridor, with spirits worth more than US$25 million a year and ~US$62 million of losses in agriculture.

The research is written in English; quoted figures, source names and the titles of legal instruments stay in the language their source published them in.

Figures

TRACIT Illicit Trade IndexPrensa Libre 10-jul-2026
43.1/100, rank 106 of 1582025
SAT seizuresPrensa Libre 10-jul-2026
Q108.7 M in 2025; Q32.3 M in 1,028 seizures Jan-Jun 20252025
Fiscal loss from illicit cigarettesLa Hora 12-jul-2026
Q180 M/year since 20172017–2026

Caveat

press figure; the original TRACIT report still to be opened

Sources

Organizations named in the answer

  • TRACITIllicit Trade Index 2025: Guatemala scores 43.1/100, ranks 106th of 158 economies and 5th of 7 in Central America, and is classed a high-risk jurisdiction.Other
  • La HoraA report of 12 July 2026: cigarettes, Q180 million a year in lost revenue since 2017; alcoholic drinks, more than US$25 million a year; agriculture, ~US$62 million; and Guatemala as a regional corridor for illicit trade.Other

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This layer is research: read from public sources by the archive's own team, every claim cited with the date it was consulted, and audited where it is marked so. It has not entered the verified store — no figure here was fetched back from its source or stamped with a retrieval time — so it wears no red provenance numeral and never mixes with the verified figures.